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UEFA Champions League Women · International
Manchester City W vs Paris Saint Germain W prediction and preview
29 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Manchester City W host Paris Saint Germain W in the UEFA Champions League Women (International) on 29 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Manchester City W 1–1 Paris Saint Germain W.
Going into the match, Manchester City W had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 12. Paris Saint Germain W had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Manchester City W's last 10 and 4 of Paris Saint Germain W's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Manchester City W averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Paris Saint Germain W averaged 1.50 scored and 0.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Manchester City W and 1.11 from Paris Saint Germain W. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 28%, against 62%, 21% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Manchester City W (green) and Paris Saint Germain W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City W | DWWDW | 2.70 | 1.20 | 80% | 70% |
| Paris Saint Germain W | WLWWD | 1.70 | 0.80 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Manchester City W Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Manchester City W form and statistics
- Paris Saint Germain W form and statistics
- UEFA Champions League Women statistics
Other UEFA Champions League Women matches that day
- Køge W vs Barcelona W · 29 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League Women
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.44 · FT 0–8 - Austria Wien W vs Juventus W · 29 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–4 - Paris FC W vs Häcken W · 29 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1