Managua vs Matagalpa prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Managua host Matagalpa in the Primera Division (Nicaragua) on 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Managua 4–1 Matagalpa.

Going into the match, Managua had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 11. Matagalpa had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 22 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Managua's last 10 and 3 of Matagalpa's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Managua averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Matagalpa averaged 1.25 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 3.53 goals from Managua and 1.02 from Matagalpa. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 6%, against 76%, 14% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Managua (green) and Matagalpa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form81% – 19%

Attack82% – 18%

Defence68% – 32%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals65% – 35%

Overall strength76% – 23%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Managua	WWWDW	3.20	1.10	70%	70%
Matagalpa	LLLWL	0.60	2.20	30%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

10 Aug 2026 · Matagalpa 0–3 Managua
30 Apr 2026 · Managua 2–4 Matagalpa
16 Apr 2026 · Matagalpa 1–2 Managua

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 2.5 Goals	65%	1.44
Managua 1st Half Win	59%	1.53
Managua HT & FT	57%	1.62
BTTS No	55%	1.66
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	55%	1.68
3-0	12%	7.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.