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Premier Soccer League · South Africa

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane/Pretoria

The PunterPick prediction

Mamelodi Sundowns WinOdds 1.25Market probability 72%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Mamelodi Sundowns host Durban City in the Premier Soccer League (South Africa) on 31 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Mamelodi Sundowns Win — Mamelodi Sundowns to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Mamelodi Sundowns had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 5. Durban City had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Mamelodi Sundowns's last 10 and 4 of Durban City's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mamelodi Sundowns averaged 2.12 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Durban City averaged 1.30 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.72 from Durban City. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 18%, against 72%, 18% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Mamelodi Sundowns (green) and Durban City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form72% – 28%
Attack75% – 25%
Defence63% – 38%
Head-to-head100% – 0%
Goals80% – 20%
Overall strength75% – 24%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Mamelodi SundownsWDDWW1.800.5050%40%
Durban CityLWWLD1.300.9040%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Mamelodi Sundowns Win75%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals73%1.28
Under 3.5 Goals70%1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS No62%1.44
Over 8.5 Corners54%1.73
Mamelodi Sundowns HT & FT51%1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

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