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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Malvern Town vs Frome Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malvern Town host Frome Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Malvern Town 2–0 Frome Town.
Going into the match, Malvern Town had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 27. Frome Town had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Malvern Town's last 10 and 6 of Frome Town's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malvern Town averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Frome Town averaged 1.78 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Malvern Town and 1.97 from Frome Town. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 55%, against 31%, 24% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malvern Town (green) and Frome Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | WLLDW | 1.50 | 2.70 | 80% | 80% |
| Frome Town | WDDDD | 1.60 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Frome Town Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Frome Town HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Malvern Town form and statistics
- Frome Town form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Southern South statistics
Other Non League Premier - Southern South matches that day
- Hanwell Town vs Bath City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–2 - Bracknell Town vs Chichester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.45 - Chippenham Town vs Poole Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.64 · FT 1–4 - Evesham United vs Taunton Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Havant & Wville vs Hanworth Villa · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.43 · FT 2–2 - Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern South
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 4–0