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UEFA Nations League · International
Malta vs Gibraltar prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malta host Gibraltar in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Malta Win — Malta to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Malta 1–1 Gibraltar.
Going into the match, Malta had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Gibraltar had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4, with 8 scored and 1 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Malta's last 4 and 1 of Gibraltar's last 4; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malta averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Gibraltar averaged 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 0.
The 1X2 prices imply about 74% for Malta, 18% for the draw and 9% for Gibraltar once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malta (green) and Gibraltar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Malta Win | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Malta HT & FT | 52% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.