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UEFA Nations League · International
Malta vs Andorra prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malta host Andorra in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Malta 1–0 Andorra.
Going into the match, Malta had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Andorra had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6, with 3 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Malta's last 5 and 1 of Andorra's last 6; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malta averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Andorra averaged 0.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 57% for Malta, 28% for the draw and 15% for Andorra once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malta (green) and Andorra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Sep 2026 · Andorra 1–2 Malta
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Malta Win | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.