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Damallsvenskan · Sweden
Malmö FF W vs Rosengård W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malmö FF W host Rosengård W in the Damallsvenskan (Sweden) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Malmö FF W 1–0 Rosengård W.
Going into the match, Malmö FF W had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 5. Rosengård W had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Malmö FF W's last 10 and 3 of Rosengård W's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malmö FF W averaged 2.22 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Rosengård W averaged 1.30 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Malmö FF W and 0.46 from Rosengård W. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 9%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malmö FF W (green) and Rosengård W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmö FF W | WLWWW | 2.60 | 0.50 | 30% | 60% |
| Rosengård W | WWLWW | 1.00 | 0.80 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Rosengård W 0–1 Malmö FF W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Malmö FF W Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.