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Damallsvenskan · Sweden
Malmö FF W vs AIK W prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malmö FF W host AIK W in the Damallsvenskan (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Malmö FF W 3–2 AIK W.
Going into the match, Malmö FF W had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 5. AIK W had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Malmö FF W's last 10 and 5 of AIK W's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malmö FF W averaged 2.10 goals scored and 0.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home AIK W averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Malmö FF W and 0.68 from AIK W. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 11%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malmö FF W (green) and AIK W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmö FF W | WWLWW | 2.10 | 0.50 | 30% | 50% |
| AIK W | LWWWW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · AIK W 2–2 Malmö FF W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Malmö FF W Win | 61% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.