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Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Eleda Stadion, Malmö
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malmo FF host Hammarby FF in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Hammarby FF to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Malmo FF had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 5. Hammarby FF had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Malmo FF's last 10 and 3 of Hammarby FF's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malmo FF averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Hammarby FF averaged 1.59 scored and 1.06 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Malmo FF and 1.31 from Hammarby FF. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 43%, against 22%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malmo FF (green) and Hammarby FF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | WDLWW | 1.70 | 0.50 | 20% | 40% |
| Hammarby FF | WWWLW | 1.60 | 0.60 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Hammarby FF 4–1 Malmo FF
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Hammarby FF Win | 57% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Allsvenskan matches that day
- Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF · 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: Djurgardens IF Win @ 1.30