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Segunda División · Spain
Mallorca vs Las Palmas prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mallorca host Las Palmas in the Segunda División (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Mallorca Win — Mallorca to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mallorca 3–1 Las Palmas.
Going into the match, Mallorca had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Las Palmas had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Mallorca's last 10 and 6 of Las Palmas's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mallorca averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Las Palmas averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Mallorca and 0.63 from Las Palmas. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 11%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mallorca (green) and Las Palmas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | DLWWD | 1.20 | 0.40 | 10% | 20% |
| Las Palmas | DLLWD | 1.50 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Mallorca Win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.