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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Mallorca II vs Alcoyano prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mallorca II host Alcoyano in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mallorca II 0–1 Alcoyano.
Going into the match, Mallorca II had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Alcoyano had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Mallorca II's last 10 and 3 of Alcoyano's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mallorca II averaged 3.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Alcoyano averaged 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Mallorca II and 0.88 from Alcoyano. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 33%, against 29%, 31% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mallorca II (green) and Alcoyano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca II | LWDDL | 1.50 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| Alcoyano | WWLDW | 1.10 | 0.80 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.60 |
| Alcoyano Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| 0-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.