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Premier League · Bahrain
Malkiya vs Al Riffa prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malkiya host Al Riffa in the Premier League (Bahrain) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al Riffa Win — Al Riffa to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Malkiya 1–1 Al Riffa.
Going into the match, Malkiya had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 8 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Al Riffa had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 0 of Malkiya's last 8 and 5 of Al Riffa's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malkiya averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Al Riffa averaged 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.68 goals from Malkiya and 2.15 from Al Riffa. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 70%, against 9%, 22% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malkiya (green) and Al Riffa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 May 2026 · Malkiya 0–2 Al Riffa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| Al Riffa Win | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.