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Friendlies · International
Maldives vs Lebanon prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maldives host Lebanon in the Friendlies (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maldives 0–6 Lebanon.
Going into the match, Maldives had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 13. Lebanon had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1, with 0 scored and 2 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Maldives's last 5 and 0 of Lebanon's last 1; 3 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maldives averaged 0.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Lebanon averaged 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 0.
The 1X2 prices imply about 2% for Maldives, 10% for the draw and 88% for Lebanon once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maldives (green) and Lebanon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Lebanon HT & FT | 74% | 1.28 |
| Lebanon 1st Half Win | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 0-3 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.