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FIFA Asean Cup · International
Malaysia vs Vietnam prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malaysia host Vietnam in the FIFA Asean Cup (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Malaysia to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Malaysia 1–0 Vietnam.
Going into the match, Malaysia had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Vietnam had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Malaysia's last 9 and 3 of Vietnam's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malaysia averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Vietnam averaged 3.33 scored and 0.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Malaysia and 0.92 from Vietnam. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 30%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malaysia (green) and Vietnam (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Aug 2026 · Vietnam 2–0 Malaysia
- 16 Aug 2026 · Malaysia 0–2 Vietnam
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Malaysia Win | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.