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Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran

Malavan vs Tractor Sazi prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 66%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Malavan host Tractor Sazi in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Malavan had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Tractor Sazi had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 3 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Malavan's last 8 and 1 of Tractor Sazi's last 10; 4 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malavan averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Tractor Sazi averaged 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.44 goals from Malavan and 1.18 from Tractor Sazi. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 54%, against 18%, 28% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Malavan (green) and Tractor Sazi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form33% – 67%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence20% – 80%
Head-to-head7% – 93%
Goals14% – 86%
Overall strength22% – 77%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
MalavanLDWLL0.881.3863%50%
Tractor SaziDDLLW0.900.3010%0%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals76%1.21
Double Chance 1272%1.23
Under 2.5 Goals66%1.40
Over 1.5 Goals62%1.48
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals62%1.48
BTTS No56%1.62
Tractor Sazi Win54%1.67
Under 1.5 Goals38%2.39

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Persian Gulf Pro League matches that day