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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malacateco host Comunicaciones in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 21 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Malacateco 1–0 Comunicaciones.
Going into the match, Malacateco had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Comunicaciones had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Malacateco's last 10 and 6 of Comunicaciones's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malacateco averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Comunicaciones averaged 0.91 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Malacateco and 0.87 from Comunicaciones. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 22%, against 43%, 30% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malacateco (green) and Comunicaciones (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | LWLLW | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20% | 20% |
| Comunicaciones | LLWWL | 1.20 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Comunicaciones 4–2 Malacateco
- 27 Apr 2026 · Malacateco 1–0 Comunicaciones
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Malacateco Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.