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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mainz 05 W host VfL Wolfsburg W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mainz 05 W 0–5 VfL Wolfsburg W.
Going into the match, Mainz 05 W had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 21. VfL Wolfsburg W had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Mainz 05 W's last 10 and 5 of VfL Wolfsburg W's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mainz 05 W averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home VfL Wolfsburg W averaged 2.36 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Mainz 05 W and 4.12 from VfL Wolfsburg W. From that it rates a home win at 5%, a draw at 8% and an away win at 87%, against 5%, 6% and 89% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 33%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mainz 05 W (green) and VfL Wolfsburg W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 W | LWLLL | 2.20 | 2.10 | 40% | 90% |
| VfL Wolfsburg W | WWWWL | 2.60 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg W HT & FT | 74% | 1.30 |
| VfL Wolfsburg W 1st Half Win | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| 0-3 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.