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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · Portugal
Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maia Lidador host Maria da Fonte in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maia Lidador 1–1 Maria da Fonte.
Going into the match, Maia Lidador had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 6 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Maria da Fonte had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 7, with 4 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Maia Lidador's last 6 and 2 of Maria da Fonte's last 7; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maia Lidador averaged 0.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Maria da Fonte averaged 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 40% for Maia Lidador, 28% for the draw and 32% for Maria da Fonte once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maia Lidador (green) and Maria da Fonte (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Lidador | LDLDL | 0.33 | 1.00 | 33% | 17% |
| Maria da Fonte | LLLWL | 0.57 | 2.00 | 29% | 43% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| Maia Lidador Win | 40% | 2.20 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.