Home › League stats › CAF Champions League › Maghreb Fès vs ASEC Mimosas
CAF Champions League · International
Maghreb Fès vs ASEC Mimosas prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maghreb Fès host ASEC Mimosas in the CAF Champions League (International) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Maghreb Fès Win — Maghreb Fès to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maghreb Fès 1–1 ASEC Mimosas.
Going into the match, Maghreb Fès had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 6. ASEC Mimosas had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Maghreb Fès's last 10 and 5 of ASEC Mimosas's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maghreb Fès averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home ASEC Mimosas averaged 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Maghreb Fès and 0.47 from ASEC Mimosas. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 15%, against 70%, 21% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maghreb Fès (green) and ASEC Mimosas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maghreb Fès | LDWWD | 1.40 | 0.60 | 50% | 50% |
| ASEC Mimosas | DDLWD | 0.90 | 0.80 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.22 |
| Maghreb Fès Win | 69% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 57% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.50 |
| Draw HT / Maghreb Fès FT | 27% | 3.40 |
| 1-0 | 23% | 4.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other CAF Champions League matches that day
- Teungueth vs Colombe · 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · CAF Champions League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 - Horoya vs Al Merreikh · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · CAF Champions League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · CAF Champions League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 · FT 2–0 - Scotland Mabvuku vs Petro de Luanda · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · CAF Champions League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 2–0 - Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · CAF Champions League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–2