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Primera B · Chile
Magallanes vs Curico Unido prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Magallanes host Curico Unido in the Primera B (Chile) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Magallanes 1–0 Curico Unido.
Going into the match, Magallanes had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Curico Unido had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Magallanes's last 10 and 2 of Curico Unido's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Magallanes averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Curico Unido averaged 0.75 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Magallanes and 0.94 from Curico Unido. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 17%, against 51%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Magallanes (green) and Curico Unido (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magallanes | WDDLW | 1.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Curico Unido | LLLWL | 0.50 | 1.80 | 20% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Magallanes Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Magallanes HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.