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Primera División Femenina · Spain
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Club W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Madrid CFF W host Athletic Club W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Madrid CFF W 2–2 Athletic Club W.
Going into the match, Madrid CFF W had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 19. Athletic Club W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Madrid CFF W's last 10 and 5 of Athletic Club W's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Madrid CFF W averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Athletic Club W averaged 1.00 scored and 0.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from Madrid CFF W and 1.84 from Athletic Club W. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 44%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Madrid CFF W (green) and Athletic Club W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid CFF W | WLWWW | 1.50 | 1.90 | 40% | 60% |
| Athletic Club W | WLDWW | 1.70 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.