Macva vs OFK Beograd prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 71%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Macva host OFK Beograd in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Macva 1–1 OFK Beograd.

Going into the match, Macva had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 14. OFK Beograd had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Macva's last 10 and 7 of OFK Beograd's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Macva averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home OFK Beograd averaged 1.33 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Macva and 0.91 from OFK Beograd. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 24%, 28% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Macva (green) and OFK Beograd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form60% – 40%

Attack40% – 60%

Defence63% – 37%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals73% – 27%

Overall strength60% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Macva	DLLDD	0.80	1.40	50%	40%
OFK Beograd	DLLDL	1.40	1.90	70%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	74%	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	52%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.75
Over 2.5 Goals	48%	2.05
OFK Beograd Win	47%	1.91

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.