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Super Liga · Serbia
Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Gradski Stadion Sabac, Shabac
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Macva host FK Crvena Zvezda in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FK Crvena Zvezda Win — FK Crvena Zvezda to win. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Macva had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. FK Crvena Zvezda had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Macva's last 10 and 5 of FK Crvena Zvezda's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Macva averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home FK Crvena Zvezda averaged 1.76 scored and 1.06 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.59 goals from Macva and 1.97 from FK Crvena Zvezda. From that it rates a home win at 9%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 69%, against 8%, 14% and 78% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Macva (green) and FK Crvena Zvezda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | WLDDL | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | WWDWL | 2.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Jul 2026 · FK Crvena Zvezda 5–0 Macva
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FK Crvena Zvezda Win | 81% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda 1st Half Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda HT & FT | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.