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FA Cup · England
Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Macclesfield host Scarborough Athletic in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Macclesfield 2–2 Scarborough Athletic.
Going into the match, Macclesfield had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Scarborough Athletic had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Macclesfield's last 10 and 5 of Scarborough Athletic's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Macclesfield averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Scarborough Athletic averaged 1.30 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Macclesfield and 0.99 from Scarborough Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Macclesfield (green) and Scarborough Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield | WWDDL | 1.40 | 0.70 | 60% | 60% |
| Scarborough Athletic | DWDDL | 1.70 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Sep 2026 · Macclesfield 0–0 Scarborough Athletic
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| Macclesfield Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Macclesfield HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.