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Liga Alef · Israel
Maccabi Yavne vs Ironi Beit Shemesh prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Yavne host Ironi Beit Shemesh in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 1 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.90, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maccabi Yavne 5–1 Ironi Beit Shemesh.
Going into the match, Maccabi Yavne had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Ironi Beit Shemesh had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4, with 4 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Maccabi Yavne's last 4 and 2 of Ironi Beit Shemesh's last 4; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Yavne averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Ironi Beit Shemesh averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.38 goals from Maccabi Yavne and 0.95 from Ironi Beit Shemesh. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 13%, against 51%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 35%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Yavne (green) and Ironi Beit Shemesh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Yavne | DDLW | 1.00 | 0.50 | 25% | 25% |
| Ironi Beit Shemesh | WDLL | 1.00 | 2.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Maccabi Yavne Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Maccabi Yavne HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.