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Liga Leumit · Israel
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Kiryat Gat host Kiryat Yam SC in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 9 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 2–2 Kiryat Yam SC.
Going into the match, Maccabi Kiryat Gat had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Kiryat Yam SC had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Maccabi Kiryat Gat's last 8 and 5 of Kiryat Yam SC's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Kiryat Gat averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Kiryat Yam SC averaged 2.11 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Maccabi Kiryat Gat and 1.39 from Kiryat Yam SC. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 45%, against 25%, 25% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Kiryat Gat (green) and Kiryat Yam SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | LLWLD | 0.88 | 1.13 | 50% | 25% |
| Kiryat Yam SC | WWWLW | 2.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.