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Liga Leumit · Israel
Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Herzliya host Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 9 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maccabi Herzliya 1–2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
Going into the match, Maccabi Herzliya had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 8, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Maccabi Herzliya's last 10 and 4 of Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's last 8; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Herzliya averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Maccabi Ahi Nazareth averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Maccabi Herzliya and 0.81 from Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 22%, against 51%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Herzliya (green) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Herzliya | LLDWD | 1.00 | 1.30 | 60% | 20% |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | LLWDL | 1.00 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Maccabi Herzliya Win | 50% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.