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Liga Leumit · Israel
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Bnei Raina host Hapoel Kfar Shalem in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Maccabi Bnei Raina to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maccabi Bnei Raina 1–2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem.
Going into the match, Maccabi Bnei Raina had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Hapoel Kfar Shalem had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Maccabi Bnei Raina's last 10 and 8 of Hapoel Kfar Shalem's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Bnei Raina averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Hapoel Kfar Shalem averaged 2.13 scored and 2.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Maccabi Bnei Raina and 1.98 from Hapoel Kfar Shalem. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 45%, against 45%, 25% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Bnei Raina (green) and Hapoel Kfar Shalem (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | LWWWL | 1.40 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | WDDLW | 2.40 | 2.10 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Maccabi Bnei Raina Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.