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Liga Leumit · Israel
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modi'in prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth host Ironi Modi'in in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Maccabi Ahi Nazareth to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1–2 Ironi Modi'in.
Going into the match, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Ironi Modi'in had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's last 7 and 6 of Ironi Modi'in's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Ahi Nazareth averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Ironi Modi'in averaged 1.22 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Maccabi Ahi Nazareth and 1.69 from Ironi Modi'in. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 51%, against 42%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (green) and Ironi Modi'in (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | LWDLW | 1.00 | 1.43 | 43% | 43% |
| Ironi Modi'in | LLLDD | 1.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.