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Carioca - 2 · Brazil

Macaé vs Carapebus prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 4–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Macaé host Carapebus in the Carioca - 2 (Brazil) on 3 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Macaé 4–3 Carapebus.

Going into the match, Macaé had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Carapebus had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4, with 1 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Macaé's last 6 and 1 of Carapebus's last 4; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Macaé averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Carapebus averaged 0.00 scored and 0.50 conceded across 2.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from Macaé and 0.76 from Carapebus. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 13%. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Macaé (green) and Carapebus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form80% – 20%
Attack75% – 25%
Defence67% – 33%
Overall strength74% – 26%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
MacaéDLWLL0.670.8333%33%
CarapebusLDLL0.251.5025%25%

Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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