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Esiliiga A · Estonia
Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maardu host Nõmme Kalju II in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 11 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Maardu to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Maardu had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 19. Nõmme Kalju II had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Maardu's last 10 and 4 of Nõmme Kalju II's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maardu averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Nõmme Kalju II averaged 1.36 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.41 goals from Maardu and 1.11 from Nõmme Kalju II. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 15%. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maardu (green) and Nõmme Kalju II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maardu | WWWLW | 2.20 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
| Nõmme Kalju II | LLLLW | 0.80 | 2.80 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Nõmme Kalju II 1–4 Maardu
- 18 Jun 2026 · Maardu 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II
- 18 Apr 2026 · Nõmme Kalju II 3–2 Maardu