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2. Division - Group 1 · Norway
Lysekloster vs jerv prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lysekloster host jerv in the 2. Division - Group 1 (Norway) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is jerv Win — jerv to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lysekloster 3–3 jerv.
Going into the match, Lysekloster had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 23. jerv had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Lysekloster's last 10 and 5 of jerv's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lysekloster averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home jerv averaged 2.18 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Lysekloster and 2.40 from jerv. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 65%, against 11%, 17% and 72% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lysekloster (green) and jerv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lysekloster | LLLLL | 0.80 | 2.30 | 50% | 70% |
| jerv | WWLWW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · jerv 1–2 Lysekloster
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| jerv Win | 72% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 58% | 2.10 |
| jerv HT & FT | 56% | 1.65 |
| jerv 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.