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1. Division · Norway
Lyn vs Stromsgodset prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lyn host Stromsgodset in the 1. Division (Norway) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Stromsgodset Win — Stromsgodset to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lyn 1–5 Stromsgodset.
Going into the match, Lyn had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 17. Stromsgodset had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Lyn's last 10 and 6 of Stromsgodset's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lyn averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Stromsgodset averaged 2.86 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Lyn and 2.42 from Stromsgodset. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 64%, against 19%, 20% and 62% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lyn (green) and Stromsgodset (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyn | LLWWD | 2.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
| Stromsgodset | WWWWD | 2.70 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Stromsgodset 1–1 Lyn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Stromsgodset Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Stromsgodset HT & FT | 43% | 2.20 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.