Home › League stats › UEFA Nations League › Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League · International
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Luxembourg host Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria.
Going into the match, Luxembourg had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Bulgaria had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with 3 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Luxembourg's last 5 and 2 of Bulgaria's last 5; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Luxembourg averaged 0.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Bulgaria averaged 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 44% for Luxembourg, 28% for the draw and 28% for Bulgaria once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Luxembourg (green) and Bulgaria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | LLWWL | 0.60 | 1.20 | 20% | 40% |
| Bulgaria | LDLDL | 0.60 | 1.60 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Sep 2026 · Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Luxembourg Win | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.