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Stars League · Qatar
Lusail City vs Al Shamal prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lusail City host Al Shamal in the Stars League (Qatar) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lusail City 0–0 Al Shamal.
Going into the match, Lusail City had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Al Shamal had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lusail City's last 10 and 7 of Al Shamal's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lusail City averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Al Shamal averaged 1.83 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Lusail City and 1.68 from Al Shamal. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 49%, against 25%, 24% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lusail City (green) and Al Shamal (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusail City | LDWDW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
| Al Shamal | DLWWD | 2.00 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Al Shamal Win | 50% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Stars League matches that day
- Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC · 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Stars League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–2