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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Lund vs Trollhättan prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lund host Trollhättan in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lund 4–3 Trollhättan.
Going into the match, Lund had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 11. Trollhättan had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lund's last 10 and 6 of Trollhättan's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lund averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Trollhättan averaged 1.54 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from Lund and 1.57 from Trollhättan. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 30%, against 51%, 23% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lund (green) and Trollhättan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lund | LLLWW | 1.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
| Trollhättan | WDWWW | 2.40 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Trollhättan 1–1 Lund
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Lund Win | 51% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.