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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lumezzane host Albinoleffe in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Albinoleffe to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lumezzane 3–2 Albinoleffe.
Going into the match, Lumezzane had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Albinoleffe had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Lumezzane's last 10 and 7 of Albinoleffe's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lumezzane averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Albinoleffe averaged 2.00 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Lumezzane and 1.43 from Albinoleffe. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 45%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lumezzane (green) and Albinoleffe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lumezzane | LLWDD | 0.90 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| Albinoleffe | WDWLD | 1.60 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 32% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.