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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Luki-Energiya vs Iskra Smolensk prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Luki-Energiya host Iskra Smolensk in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Luki-Energiya Win — Luki-Energiya to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Luki-Energiya 2–1 Iskra Smolensk.
Going into the match, Luki-Energiya had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Iskra Smolensk had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Luki-Energiya's last 10 and 5 of Iskra Smolensk's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Luki-Energiya averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Iskra Smolensk averaged 0.67 scored and 2.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.38 goals from Luki-Energiya and 0.97 from Iskra Smolensk. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 13%, against 64%, 22% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Luki-Energiya (green) and Iskra Smolensk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luki-Energiya | LWWWW | 1.70 | 1.40 | 70% | 70% |
| Iskra Smolensk | WWWDL | 1.00 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · Iskra Smolensk 1–1 Luki-Energiya
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.40 |
| Luki-Energiya Win | 64% | 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 30% | 3.08 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.