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Division 2 - Norrland · Sweden

Lucksta vs Skellefteå prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Skellefteå WinOdds 1.92Market probability 48%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lucksta host Skellefteå in the Division 2 - Norrland (Sweden) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Skellefteå Win — Skellefteå to win. It was published at odds of 1.92, which the bookmaker market rated at about 48% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Lucksta 2–1 Skellefteå.

Going into the match, Lucksta had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 26. Skellefteå had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 21 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Lucksta's last 10 and 6 of Skellefteå's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lucksta averaged 1.92 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Skellefteå averaged 1.83 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from Lucksta and 1.79 from Skellefteå. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 36%, against 28%, 24% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Lucksta (green) and Skellefteå (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack67% – 33%
Defence47% – 53%
Head-to-head13% – 88%
Goals30% – 70%
Overall strength40% – 60%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
LuckstaLLLLW1.302.6080%70%
SkellefteåLLWLL1.602.1060%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Skellefteå Win48%1.92

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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