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Division 2 - Norrland · Sweden
Lucksta vs IFK Östersund prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lucksta host IFK Östersund in the Division 2 - Norrland (Sweden) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lucksta 2–5 IFK Östersund.
Going into the match, Lucksta had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 24. IFK Östersund had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Lucksta's last 10 and 5 of IFK Östersund's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lucksta averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home IFK Östersund averaged 1.73 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Lucksta and 2.39 from IFK Östersund. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 51%, against 32%, 21% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lucksta (green) and IFK Östersund (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucksta | LLLWD | 1.10 | 2.40 | 70% | 70% |
| IFK Östersund | WLWWD | 2.40 | 1.70 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · IFK Östersund 1–0 Lucksta
- 23 May 2026 · IFK Östersund 4–2 Lucksta
- 12 Apr 2026 · Lucksta 2–4 IFK Östersund
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.35 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.84 |
| IFK Östersund Win | 47% | 2.04 |
| IFK Östersund HT & FT | 32% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.