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Second NL · Croatia
Lucko vs Trnje prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lucko host Trnje in the Second NL (Croatia) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lucko 2–1 Trnje.
Going into the match, Lucko had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Trnje had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lucko's last 10 and 4 of Trnje's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lucko averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Trnje averaged 2.00 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Lucko and 1.39 from Trnje. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 44%, against 34%, 26% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lucko (green) and Trnje (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Trnje Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.