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Serie D - Girone E · Italy
Lucchese vs Ternana prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lucchese host Ternana in the Serie D - Girone E (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Lucchese to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Lucchese 2–2 Ternana.
Going into the match, Lucchese had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 7 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Ternana had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lucchese's last 7 and 7 of Ternana's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lucchese averaged 3.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Ternana averaged 0.83 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Lucchese and 1.93 from Ternana. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 39%. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lucchese (green) and Ternana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.