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Prva Liga · Serbia
Loznica vs Semendrija 1924 prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Loznica host Semendrija 1924 in the Prva Liga (Serbia) on 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Semendrija 1924 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Loznica 1–0 Semendrija 1924.
Going into the match, Loznica had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Semendrija 1924 had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Loznica's last 10 and 7 of Semendrija 1924's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Loznica averaged 1.11 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Semendrija 1924 averaged 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Loznica and 1.36 from Semendrija 1924. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 39%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Loznica (green) and Semendrija 1924 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loznica | LWWDL | 1.60 | 1.90 | 60% | 70% |
| Semendrija 1924 | WWWWL | 1.60 | 1.00 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Semendrija 1924 Win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.