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Championship · Northern Ireland
Loughgall vs Newry City AFC prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Loughgall host Newry City AFC in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Loughgall 2–1 Newry City AFC.
Going into the match, Loughgall had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Newry City AFC had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Loughgall's last 10 and 7 of Newry City AFC's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Loughgall averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Newry City AFC averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Loughgall and 1.45 from Newry City AFC. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 33%, against 41%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Loughgall (green) and Newry City AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loughgall | LDLLD | 1.50 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
| Newry City AFC | WDDDW | 1.60 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.