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Championship · Northern Ireland
Loughgall vs Moyola Park prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Loughgall host Moyola Park in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Loughgall Win — Loughgall to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Loughgall 1–2 Moyola Park.
Going into the match, Loughgall had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 19. Moyola Park had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Loughgall's last 10 and 4 of Moyola Park's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Loughgall averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Moyola Park averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from Loughgall and 1.40 from Moyola Park. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 26%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Loughgall (green) and Moyola Park (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loughgall | WLDLL | 1.40 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
| Moyola Park | LWDLL | 1.00 | 2.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Loughgall Win | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Loughgall HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.