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USL Championship · USA
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Loudoun United host Indy Eleven in the USL Championship (USA) on 3 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Loudoun United 1–1 Indy Eleven.
Going into the match, Loudoun United had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Indy Eleven had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Loudoun United's last 10 and 5 of Indy Eleven's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Loudoun United averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Indy Eleven averaged 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Loudoun United and 1.09 from Indy Eleven. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Loudoun United (green) and Indy Eleven (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loudoun United | WLLLL | 1.30 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
| Indy Eleven | LLLWD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · Indy Eleven 0–1 Loudoun United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Loudoun United Win | 41% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.