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Primera Premier · Mexico
Los Cabos United vs Cordobés prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Los Cabos United host Cordobés in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 4 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Los Cabos United Win — Los Cabos United to win. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Los Cabos United 0–2 Cordobés.
Going into the match, Los Cabos United had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Cordobés had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with 5 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Los Cabos United's last 6 and 2 of Cordobés's last 5; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Los Cabos United averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Cordobés averaged 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Los Cabos United and 0.83 from Cordobés. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 24%, against 53%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Los Cabos United (green) and Cordobés (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Cabos United | WWWLL | 1.00 | 1.17 | 50% | 50% |
| Cordobés | LLLDW | 1.00 | 1.40 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Los Cabos United Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Los Cabos United HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.