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2. Division - Group 2 · Norway
Lørenskog vs Trygg/Lade prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lørenskog host Trygg/Lade in the 2. Division - Group 2 (Norway) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lørenskog 3–3 Trygg/Lade.
Going into the match, Lørenskog had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 28. Trygg/Lade had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lørenskog's last 10 and 6 of Trygg/Lade's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lørenskog averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Trygg/Lade averaged 1.27 scored and 2.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.11 goals from Lørenskog and 1.35 from Trygg/Lade. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 23%, against 59%, 21% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lørenskog (green) and Trygg/Lade (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lørenskog | LWLWD | 0.80 | 2.80 | 40% | 60% |
| Trygg/Lade | LLLLL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Trygg/Lade 1–4 Lørenskog
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Lørenskog Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.