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Serie B · Brazil
Londrina vs Criciuma prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Londrina host Criciuma in the Serie B (Brazil) on 2 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Londrina 0–2 Criciuma.
Going into the match, Londrina had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Criciuma had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Londrina's last 10 and 2 of Criciuma's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Londrina averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Criciuma averaged 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Londrina and 1.04 from Criciuma. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 33%, against 30%, 30% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Londrina (green) and Criciuma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jun 2026 · Criciuma 1–0 Londrina
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.