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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Łomża host Olimpia Elbląg in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Łomża to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Łomża 0–2 Olimpia Elbląg.
Going into the match, Łomża had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 23. Olimpia Elbląg had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Łomża's last 10 and 8 of Olimpia Elbląg's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Łomża averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Olimpia Elbląg averaged 1.00 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Łomża and 1.37 from Olimpia Elbląg. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 41%, against 36%, 25% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Łomża (green) and Olimpia Elbląg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | LLDLL | 1.00 | 2.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Olimpia Elbląg | LLWLL | 1.40 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Łomża Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| 1-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.